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Ontario forecasts call for showers and overnight rain

Published 4 October 2026

Forecasts issued October 4 called for a 40 percent chance of showers late in the morning in Burlington and Elora and Fergus, while forecasts issued a day earlier predicted 10 to 15 millimetres of rain overnight in Elliot Lake and Sault Ste. Marie. The outlooks describe expected conditions, not confirmed rainfall or showers. For Burlington, the October 4 forecast called for increasing cloudiness, with fog patches expected to dissipate early in the morning. The high was forecast to reach 21°C. Southwest winds were expected to develop at 20 kilometres per hour, gusting to 40 near noon. The forecast also gave a 40 percent chance of showers late that morning and a UV index of 4, categorized as moderate. Elora and Fergus were forecast to see similar morning conditions, with increasing cloudiness and a 40 percent chance of showers late in the morning. The expected high was 20°C, with southwest winds forecast to reach 20 kilometres per hour and gust to 40 early in the afternoon. The UV index was also forecast at 4, or moderate. The October 3 outlooks for Elliot Lake and Sault Ste. Marie described a different rain timeline.

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