Late polls show Texas governor race within one point

Texas’s governor’s race remained closely contested on the eve of the November 3 election, with two late polls showing Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa narrowly ahead of Republican incumbent Greg Abbott and another survey reporting Abbott in front. The figures offered competing snapshots of the campaign, not an election result. The New York Times and Siena College poll, conducted October 27 to November 1 among 1,215 likely voters, put Hinojosa at 48% and Abbott at 47%. An AtlasIntel poll conducted October 28 to November 1 among 1,678 likely voters showed Hinojosa leading 49% to 48%. A Texas Southern University survey conducted October 21 to 25 reported Abbott leading 50% to 47%, with Libertarian Pat Dixon at 2%. Other recent polls also showed Abbott ahead. The differing results underscore that the contest was close in its final days, but polls measure stated voter preferences rather than the votes ultimately cast. Prediction-market trading offered a separate measure. On Monday, November 2, Kalshi traders placed Hinojosa’s chance of winning at 40% and Abbott’s at 60%; Polymarket put Hinojosa at 39%, according to reported market figures. Those odds reflect trading activity and...