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Markets

US futures dip, Fed chair remarks and Middle East tensions

Published 2 July 2026

U.S. stock futures declined on Wednesday, July 1, as markets opened the third quarter with caution amid stalled Middle East peace talks and anticipation of commentary from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. The pullback followed a strong second quarter for major indices.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell between 0.2% and 0.3%, while S&P 500 futures slipped about 0.2%. Nasdaq 100 futures saw the steepest decline, dropping as much as 0.5%. This retreat comes after a robust second quarter where the S&P 500 rose 15%, the Nasdaq jumped 21%, and the Dow gained 13%, marking their best quarterly performances since 2020 and 2022, respectively.

Investor focus was centered on Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's scheduled remarks at a European Central Bank forum in Sintra, Portugal. Markets were scrutinizing his comments for any signals on future interest rate policy, though analysts did not expect formal forward guidance. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield held steady at 4.471%, while the Japanese yen hit a fresh 40-year low against the dollar, partly driven by growing expectations for Fed rate hikes.

Economic data released Tuesday showed U.S. job openings edged up in...

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