Report says warming set to exceed 1.5°C by 2030
Human-induced global warming reached 1.37 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels in 2025 and is now accelerating at a record pace of 0.27 degrees per decade, according to a major international scientific assessment published on June 11. The findings indicate the world is on track to surpass the critical 1.5-degree Paris Agreement threshold around 2030 if current emission levels persist.
The fourth edition of the Indicators of Global Climate Change report, compiled by more than 70 scientists from 56 institutions, synthesizes data from over 40 global datasets. It concludes that greenhouse gas emissions remain at an all-time high, reaching 56.8 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent in 2024, primarily from fossil fuel combustion. While there are signs that the growth in carbon dioxide emissions is slowing, the rate of heat accumulation in the Earth's system is intensifying.
A key metric, the Earth's energy imbalance, which measures the excess heat trapped in the climate system, has more than doubled in recent decades and is now at a record high. Lead author Piers Forster, a professor at the University of Leeds, stated this imbalance provides a crucial measure of the pace...