Polls Show Democrats Ahead in Six Senate Battlegrounds

Final New York Times-Siena polls show Democratic Senate candidates leading in six of seven battleground states ahead of the November 3 midterm elections, with Iowa effectively tied. Only the Democratic leads in Michigan and Texas are clearly beyond the surveys’ stated margins of error, leaving control of the chamber uncertain. The polls, conducted among likely voters from October 23 through November 1, put Abdul El Sayed ahead of Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan, 53% to 42%, and James Talarico ahead of Republican Ken Paxton in Texas, 50% to 43%. Those were the largest margins in the seven contests. Michigan is the only surveyed seat currently held by a Democrat. Democrats also led in Maine, where Troy Jackson was ahead of Republican Sen. Susan Collins, 51% to 45%; Ohio, where former Sen. Sherrod Brown led Republican Sen. Jon Husted, 49% to 44%; and Kansas, where Adam Hamilton led Republican Sen. Roger Marshall by the same margin. In Alaska, Mary Peltola led Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan, 48% to 46%. Iowa’s Josh Turek led Republican Ashley Hinson, 48% to 47%, a result described as effectively tied. The survey found that 38% of likely voters across the seven states approved of...