Met Office says UK cold outbreak remains uncertain

The Met Office says colder conditions could spread from northern Britain to much or all of the UK late next week, but described the possible outbreak as very uncertain. Separate weather-model forecasts point to sub-zero daytime temperatures in parts of Scotland, Wales and northern England, while another outlook expects rain and strong winds later in the month.

The agency’s extended forecast for November 9 to 18 says the colder air could bring brief wintry showers to northern areas, with the south tending drier. It does not confirm that a freeze or snowfall will occur. Forecasts cited from the GFS model indicate below-freezing daytime temperatures across 24 counties over three days next week, though those figures are model projections rather than observed conditions.

The reported GFS forecast lists 16 Scottish counties, four in England and four in Wales. The cold air is expected to reach Scotland first before moving south, according to the forecast. The same report relays a possibility that the cold spell could last through November 16 and affect as many as 41 areas. That longer period and larger area count are also forecasts, not confirmed outcomes.