US warns Poland of Russian provocation to test NATO

The United States has warned Poland that Russia could be preparing an armed provocation on Polish territory in the coming months, according to sources familiar with the matter. The alleged plans are reportedly intended to test NATO's collective defense resolve and pressure Western governments into suspending military support for Ukraine.

Sources close to Polish President Karol Nawrocki said Washington has delivered multiple warnings about the potential scenarios under discussion in Moscow. These include drone or missile strikes against critical Polish infrastructure, such as power stations, or simulated air attacks designed to force Poland to activate its air defense systems. A more extreme possibility, according to intelligence sources, is a hybrid attack in the border region, potentially involving a limited ground incursion by Russian or Belarusian soldiers.

Any ground operation would most likely be launched from Kaliningrad, Russia's heavily militarized exclave bordering Poland, or from neighboring Belarus. Sources indicated that Moscow might attempt to frame such a border crossing as an accident due to GPS failure or as an emergency mission to recover a malfunctioning helicopter.