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US-Israel Strike on Iran Surges Oil Prices, Risks UK Job Losses

Published 16 March 2026

The US-Israeli military action against Iran has triggered a sharp surge in global oil prices, placing more than 100,000 British workers at risk of job losses as companies grapple with escalating energy costs. The conflict, which began earlier this month, has disrupted oil supplies and driven prices above $100 per barrel, up from around $70 a month ago, according to market analysts.

Economists warn that prolonged hostilities could exacerbate the UK's fragile labor market, where unemployment already stands at 5.2 percent, the highest level since the COVID-19 pandemic. James Smith, a UK economist at investment bank ING, stated that businesses may respond to higher energy expenses by cutting jobs or freezing hiring. "It depends how long energy prices stay high," Smith said. "If we're in a scenario where the disruption lasts three months or so, unemployment could be pushing above 5.5 percent." Such a rise would push the total number of unemployed Britons close to two million, aligning with forecasts from groups like the British Chambers of Commerce.

The UK's vulnerability stems from its reliance on imported energy and some of the highest industrial energy costs among developed...

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