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US Iran peace deal cuts energy prices but UK bills stay high

Published 16 June 2026

A recent agreement to end hostilities between the United States, Israel, and Iran has triggered a drop in global energy prices, but UK households are unlikely to see immediate relief on their bills, according to consumer expert Martin Lewis. The deal, announced on Sunday, June 14, has led to a reopening of the vital Strait of Hormuz and a subsequent fall in wholesale natural gas and crude oil prices.

Lewis stated that the development could lead to slightly cheaper fixed energy tariffs becoming available in the coming days. However, he cautioned that without substantial further price drops, the energy price cap set by regulator Ofgem for October is still expected to be significantly higher than current levels. He explained that wholesale price movements are slow to feed through to consumer bills due to the timelagged nature of the price cap system.

The current price cap is set to rise by 13 percent on July 1, increasing the annual bill for a typical dual-fuel household paying by direct debit from £1,641 to £1,862, an increase of £221. This rise was announced in May, reflecting the high wholesale prices seen during the assessment period from mid-February to mid-May. That period...

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