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Reform UK Lead Narrows in Polls Before Local Elections

Published 15 April 2026

Recent polls indicate a narrowing lead for Reform UK as voter support for the party has declined amid a fragmented political landscape, with the Conservatives and Labour showing modest gains ahead of May's local elections across England, Scotland, and Wales.

The latest survey by More in Common, released this week, places Reform UK at 25 percent support, down five points from the previous reading and marking the party's lowest figure with that pollster since April last year. The Conservatives rose three points to 22 percent, creating an eight-point swing in their favor and closing the gap with Reform UK. Labour edged up one point to 21 percent, positioning it four points behind the leaders. Nigel Farage, Reform UK's leader, saw his net approval rating fall to 20 percent, his worst since the last general election, though it remains higher than Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer's at 43 percent.

Other recent polls reflect similar trends. A City AM/Freshwater Strategy survey from early April showed Reform UK at 26 percent, a four-point drop over the month, while Labour climbed four points to 22 percent, surpassing the Green Party at 15 percent and the Liberal Democrats at 13 percent....

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