Pratt Surges to 28% in LA Mayor Prediction Markets

Los Angeles mayoral candidate Spencer Pratt, a former reality television personality whose home was destroyed in the January 2025 Palisades Fire, has surged in prediction markets following a recent debate against incumbent Mayor Karen Bass and City Councilwoman Nithya Raman. The June 2 primary election remains weeks away, with no candidate expected to surpass 50 percent and secure the top two spots for a November runoff.

According to Kalshi, a regulated prediction market, Pratt now holds a 28 percent chance of winning the primary, up from lower odds a month ago and surpassing Raman's 20 percent while Bass leads at 48 percent. An NBC viewer poll after the Wednesday debate, hosted by NBC4 and Telemundo 52, showed 79 to 89 percent of respondents selecting Pratt as the winner, compared with single digits for his opponents.

In the debate, Pratt criticized Bass's response to the Palisades Fire, which destroyed over 11,000 structures including his $3.8 million home in Pacific Palisades. "Mayor Bass and I are definitely not working together. I blame this person for burning my house down," Pratt said, rebutting Raman's suggestion that the two were coordinating against her. Bass defended...