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Poll shows 38% doubt US will survive another 250 years

Published 16 June 2026

As the United States approaches the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence next month, a new national poll reveals widespread public doubt about the nation's long-term future and the health of its democracy. A Reuters/Ipsos survey concluded on Monday found that 38 percent of Americans are skeptical the country will exist as a single nation in another 250 years, with concerns crossing party lines.

The poll, which surveyed over 1,500 adults, indicates a significant portion of the electorate holds a pessimistic outlook as the nation prepares for its semiquincentennial. The sentiment is shared by 40 percent of Democrats and 26 percent of Republicans. Furthermore, two-thirds of all respondents agree that American democracy is in danger of failing, a notable increase from 57 percent last year. This concern is driven by 85 percent of Democrats and half of Republicans.

These findings emerge amid a highly polarized political climate where traditional anniversary events have become politically charged. The celebrations have been marked by events such as a recent martial arts exhibition on the White House South Lawn and plans for a large July 4th gathering in Washington that...

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