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Markets

Japanese Bond Yields Hit Multi-Decade Highs

Published 27 March 2026

Japanese government bond yields reached multi-decade highs this week, signaling the end of the country's long era of ultra-low interest rates amid hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan and persistent inflationary pressures from geopolitical tensions.

The 10-year Japanese Government Bond yield climbed to 2.38 percent on Friday, surpassing levels seen during the 2008 financial crisis, according to market data. Shorter-term yields also surged, with the five-year benchmark hitting a record 1.76 percent on Tuesday and the two-year yield rising to 1.33 percent on Thursday, its highest in three decades. Longer-dated bonds saw even sharper increases, as the 30-year yield advanced to 3.69 percent and the 40-year yield touched 3.925 percent. These movements reflect investor expectations of an interest rate hike as soon as April, driven by the central bank's recent upward revisions to Japan's growth potential and internal forecasts.

The Bank of Japan released updated estimates on Friday indicating rising market risk appetite and moderate improvements in economic indicators, which prompted a broad selloff in sovereign debt. Officials noted that heightened inflation, particularly in the...

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