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Japan Core Inflation Falls to 1.6% in February

Published 24 March 2026

Japan's core consumer inflation rate fell to 1.6 percent in February, dipping below the Bank of Japan's 2 percent target for the first time in nearly four years, according to government data released on Tuesday. The figure, which excludes volatile fresh food prices, marked a decline from January's 2.0 percent rise and came in below market expectations of 1.7 percent.

The slowdown reflects the impact of government fuel subsidies introduced to ease household burdens from rising living costs. These measures have offset upward pressures from a weakening yen, which has increased import expenses, and higher global oil prices driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict. Analysts anticipate core inflation will remain below 2 percent in the coming months as the subsidies continue to temper price gains.

A broader measure, known as the core-core consumer price index that strips out both fresh food and energy costs, rose 2.5 percent year-on-year in February, down slightly from 2.6 percent in January. This index serves as a key gauge for the central bank of demand-driven inflation trends.

The Bank of Japan has been navigating a shift away from decades of ultra-loose monetary policy. In 2024,...

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