Iran Can Produce 50 Ballistic Missiles a Month, Estimate Says

Iran can produce about 50 ballistic missiles a month and probably retains at least 1,700, according to a Western intelligence estimate relayed through Bloomberg. The monthly output is roughly half the country’s estimated prewar capacity, despite months of U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on its military infrastructure.

The estimate comes as Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps released footage on November 10 of what it described as a new underground missile facility. The location and number of weapons at the site have not been disclosed. The footage’s release does not independently establish the facility’s scale or operational status.

The figures are based on military intelligence reports cited by a Western official. The estimate has been repeated in reporting, but the underlying intelligence documents, methodology and observation date were not provided. The current inventory therefore remains an estimate, rather than a publicly verified count.

The missile production assessment contrasts with U.S. statements about damage to Iran’s military and industrial capacity. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said more than 80% of Iran’s nuclear industrial base had been destroyed. That...