GOP Gains Modest Black Voter Support in Polls

President Donald Trump and the Republican Party have registered modest gains in support among black voters, according to recent polling data analyzed by CNN senior data analyst Harry Enten.

Enten highlighted the shifts during a Thursday broadcast, noting that Trump's approval rating among black Americans stood at 12 percent at a similar point in his first term but has climbed to 16 percent now. He described the change as evidence that Republicans are eroding the Democratic Party's longstanding advantage with this voting bloc. "I think what we're seeing right now in the numbers is President Trump and the Republican Party are chipping away at the long-term advantage that Democrats have had with black voters, with African Americans," Enten said.

The trend extends to election results and party identification. In the 2020 presidential election, Trump received 8 percent of the black vote, according to Pew Research Center data. That share nearly doubled to 15 percent in 2024. Party affiliation margins have also narrowed: Democrats held a 63-point advantage over Republicans among black voters during Trump's first term, but that lead has decreased to 51 points, Gallup polling shows....