Dončić Leads Early MVP Market After Scoring Surge

Luka Dončić’s prolific start to the 2026-27 NBA season has put the Los Angeles Lakers guard at the front of an early Most Valuable Player prediction market while drawing attention to both his scoring and his on-court demeanor.

Through seven games, Dončić was averaging 38.3 points, eight rebounds and 8.1 assists, according to season statistics reported November 4. He scored 42 points and had 13 assists and seven rebounds in the Lakers’ 138-117 win over the Miami Heat on November 2. The victory followed a 45-point, 15-rebound performance against the Toronto Raptors.

Polymarket’s NBA MVP market placed Dončić at about 32% on Tuesday, ahead of San Antonio Spurs center Victor Wembanyama at 30%. By Wednesday morning, Dončić’s implied probability had risen to about 35%. Those figures reflect a prediction market, not official NBA voting, and can change as the season progresses.

The statistical figures describe a short stretch, not a full season. Another report, measuring eight games, put Dončić at 38.5 points, 8.1 rebounds and 8.0 assists per game, with a 49.5% field-goal rate and 89.3% free-throw shooting. The different averages correspond to different observation points early in the season.