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Markets

China's September exports rise 8.3% as trade tensions loom

Published 13 October 2025

China's exports rebounded in September, rising 8.3 percent year on year to $328.6 billion, while imports increased 7.4 percent to $238.1 billion, leaving a trade surplus of $90.45 billion, customs data showed on Monday. The figures marked the strongest export growth in six months and exceeded economists' expectations, though officials and analysts warned that rising trade tensions with the United States and new export controls complicate the outlook.

Customs authorities and analysts said the rebound reflected a recovery in global manufacturing demand and the effect of shipments pulled forward ahead of China's Golden Week holiday in early October. September's export performance followed a slowdown in August, when year-on-year export growth dipped to 4.4 percent and imports rose just 1.3 percent. Some economists have also pointed to expansionary fiscal and monetary policies in major economies as supporting external demand.

The headline numbers mask divergent regional trends. Exports to the United States fell 27 percent year on year in September, continuing a six-month decline, while shipments to Southeast Asia rose 15.6 percent. Exports to Latin America and Africa were up about 15...

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