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Markets

China July: economy slows as factory output, retail sales weaken

Published 15 August 2025

China’s economy slowed again in July, with factory output and retail spending rising at the weakest paces of the year, underscoring a delicate balance for policymakers as domestic demand remains soft even as external risk from trade tensions lingers. Industrial production grew 5.7% year on year, a deceleration from June’s 6.8% and the slowest since November 2024. Retail sales advanced 3.7% year on year, the weakest figure this year and well below the previous month’s pace. Together, the readings point to a broad softening in the economy as policy makers seek to shore up growth amid uncertainties over the global trade environment and a fragile domestic economy.

Beyond these headline numbers, the data show slower growth across investment and prices. Fixed asset investment for the year to date expanded 1.6% in the first seven months, a trough for the year and below expectations that pointed toward a weak financing environment and cautious corporate posture. The producer price index fell 3.6% year on year, consistent with ongoing price deflation pressures at the factory level. On the demand side, conditions remained weak: new loans denominated in yuan contracted for the first time...

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