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Markets

CFTC warns prediction markets on self-certifications

Published 27 July 2026

Federal regulators have again warned operators of prediction markets against submitting overly broad, generic filings when certifying new event contracts. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission issued an advisory on July 24, cautioning that a recurring practice of bundling multiple contract variations into a single, template-style certification is unacceptable.

The advisory, published on July -, specifically targets the self-certification process that allows exchanges to list new contracts without prior agency approval, provided they comply with the Commodity Exchange Act. Officials stated they have observed platforms submitting filings that cover numerous contract permutations without detailing the specific terms, settlement mechanics, or legal compliance for each version. The agency said this approach strips regulators of the ability to properly evaluate whether each bundled contract meets statutory standards.

This marks the second such warning from the CFTC this year, following a nearly identical notice issued on March 12. The agency emphasized that while operators retain their statutory right to self-certify event contracts, they must do so properly within the established...

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