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BoE Economist Warns of Inflation from Iran Conflict

Published 24 March 2026

Huw Pill, the Bank of England's chief economist, warned on Tuesday that escalating risks to inflation from energy price surges tied to the ongoing Iran conflict demand prompt monetary policy action, despite prevailing uncertainties.

Speaking at a central banking conference in Skopje, North Macedonia, Pill emphasized that policymakers must not let the "fog of uncertainty" delay efforts to maintain price stability. "The fog of uncertainty in which we always operate cannot be an excuse for inaction," he said. "Uncertainty is always present, perhaps especially so of late, but the task of monetary policymakers is to provide clarity on their pursuit of the price stability objective in that uncertain world." Pill stated he stands ready to act if necessary to curb persistent inflationary pressures stemming from events in the Gulf region.

The remarks come as the conflict, which began on February 28, disrupts global energy markets, driving up wholesale oil and gas prices. Pill highlighted these commodity price shifts as the primary concern for the UK economy. "From a UK monetary policy perspective, for all the geopolitical and geoeconomic speculation of late, the evolution of global...

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