Affordability and Trump Shape 2026 Midterm Campaign

Voters will decide on November 3 whether Republicans retain narrow majorities in Congress or Democrats gain control of either chamber, as affordability, immigration and President Donald Trump’s standing shape the campaign. No election results are available yet, and forecasts of Democratic gains remain projections rather than outcomes. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in the House and Senate. Democrats need a net gain of four seats in each chamber to take control, according to an election explainer. The outcome is expected to turn on a relatively small number of competitive races, while national debate centers on the president and voter concerns about household costs and immigration. Cost of living has emerged as a leading issue. Half of registered voters in a recent Reuters-Ipsos poll identified it as the most important factor in their vote, according to the explainer. Respondents also highlighted health care, gasoline, food and housing as bills lawmakers should address. The poll’s field dates and methodology were not provided in the reporting. The same poll put Trump’s approval rating at 31, described as an all-time low. The campaign debate also reflects economic...